Showing posts with label rental. Show all posts
Showing posts with label rental. Show all posts

Sunday, September 16, 2012

Izu's 100-200 Property Valuation Rule

According to the United States Census Bureau (reference), in 2011, there were about 312 million people in the US of which 38 million lived in California. In California, there were nearly 14 million housing units. According to an analysis done for San Mateo County (reference), in 2009, close to 503 thousand of these were pre-foreclosures and about 390 thousand of these were foreclosures. That means, nearly 892 thousand of the 14 million housing units or about 1 in every 15 homes was in jeopardy of being lost to the bank.

The statistics above state why I am such a fanatic about following specific rules when you purchase your home. I know that one of the four d’s (death, divorce, disease, disaster) could cripple you down the road. While many renters feel their entire rent is going down the drain, in reality only a small portion of the rent money is paying down the house. When I purchased my first home, I estimated only saving $70 a month based on tracking expenses, even after factoring in the equity being built (this is plenty when you are actually ready to buy, because you will be getting rich slowly). In addition, renters have the flexibility to move in case they lose their job and they can find a cheaper place to live if necessary. So here are my rules of thumb for buying your home:

  • Only purchase after your car loans, student loans and credit card debt are paid off.
  • Don’t purchase over 3 times your annual household income.
  • Put 20% down on your home.
  • Don’t pay over 200 times the monthly rent in the area.
When it comes to business ventures, leveraging can be very profitable. However, if you are a new investor, at least for the first investment, I would modify these rules:
  • Put 25% down.
  • Don’t pay over 100 times the monthly rent in the area.
Lets look into where the numbers 100 and 200 come from in the 100-200 rule.

During March 2012, the California median home price for single-family detached homes was $291,080 and average interest rates for thirty year fixed mortgages were 3.95 percent (reference). So typically, people are paying $1381.28 for 360 months. That is $497,261 it total payments and $206,181 in interest over 30 years.

Interest rates these days are very low but historically, they have not always been this low. Holding a 9% interest rate would mean paying 190% in interest which means almost paying 3 times what the home is worth over 30 years!

California counties collect an average of 0.74% of a property's estimated fair market value as property tax (reference). The average home insurance rate was $803 (reference). Average maintenance costs for home owners are about $672 for the year (reference). In addition, home owners tend to tack on projects around their home, which I will assume cost about the same as maintenance. Based on these numbers, one can expect to spend 1.5% of their home price yearly to cover property taxes, insurance and maintenance.

Suppose you see a home that rents for $1455 a month and you are interested in purchasing this home for personal use. Then, I would advise not paying over $291,080 for this home, using the 200 factor from the 100-200 rule. The reason is that every month, you should expect to pay $1381.28 to your mortgage company and $363.85 for additional expenses. This is a total of $1745.13 a month. Many people make the mistake of thinking that since the mortgage is lower than the rent, they have a good deal. Making a mistake here and losing this home would cost you about 11% of your home price (loan closing costs, legal fees, buyer and seller commissions) which would be about $32,019 for an average home in California.

Following my 100-200 rule gives you staying power. It allows you to hold the home long enough to have something great happen, like appreciation. Banking on appreciation because you know house prices will go up is gambling. Doing the numbers ahead of time and make sure you can afford the home is good business. Later, people will say that you are lucky, when you know different. You have planned ahead of time, just in case you hit some hard times. Doing this, I have no doubt you will get lucky and when you move into a bigger home, you will have rental property which still fits the numbers. This means rather than selling and losing that 11%, you now have an investment property, adding an asset to your collection.

As a landlord, one should factor in repair costs, appliance costs and additional costs (changing tenants, new carpet, painting). A renter should also assume 2 months of vacancy per year. If property management is involved, one might also include a $300 lease fee and 10% of the monthly rent going toward property management. In addition, unlike owning the home, an investment property should make a return like 2.5% of the property’s value (this is 10% of the 25% down). Using the 100 factor from the 100-200 rule, the same home which rented for $1455 a month, should not be purchased for more than $145,500 as an investment if you expect to make a good profit. Many investors just hope to make some profit. However, it is a good idea to compare to expected returns with the returns expected from other investments.

In terms of taxes, rental income may be considered active income if this is your job. Otherwise, it is passive income. This is important to calculate your depreciation deduction. In general, active income can offset active income and passive income can offset passive income. If you make major decisions, you might say that you actively manage your properties, but the income is still considered passive. This is a whole blog topic in itself, so I won’t cover it. In either case, both depreciation and appreciation should be considered icing on the cake and should not be factored into the equation, because one might not ever see these benefits if they can’t own the home long enough to see them.

Support My Mission

1. You can support my mission by visiting http://www.izuservices.com and donating. A dollar lets me know you support my mission or like my posts. Thank you for those who have already donated.

2. Donate to SAGE via http://sagescholars.berkeley.edu/. The UC Berkeley SAGE (Student Achievement Guided by Experience) is a self-funded experiential leadership program that provides education, professional development, mentoring and internships to UC Berkeley students who come from poverty and low income backgrounds. I serve on the Leadership Council for SAGE and want to help raise money for their cause.

3. Call toll-free (877) 855-8111 or log on to www.PrimericaSecure.com to save yourself some money on either your home or auto insurance policies. Be sure to use my last name (IZU) and solution number (2MTFT). PrimericaSecure automatically compares rates from multiple companies such as Progressive, Travelers, Safeco, Hallmark, etc.

Monday, August 27, 2012

The Second Tier of Building Wealth

The second tier of building wealth is learning how to have your money make money. If you don't know how to earn money, you won't have any money anyway, which is why the first tier is so important.
Managing Your Money
The first part of this tier is learning how to manage your money. Rather than flying by the seat of your pants, it is important to have a game plan and set goals. Learning how to make a budget and having the discipline to stick to that budget are key.

"A penny saved is a penny earned."

"Those who make 4 dollars and spend 3 will always be better off than those who make 5 dollars and spend 6." - me

“Most people don’t receive a formal education about financial matters, but it’s an important life skill.” - http://www.northbaybiz.com/General_Articles/General_Articles/Amazing_Savers.php

Avoiding Debt
Debt is a cancer. Debt is a disease. It affects stress, health and relationships. On the national scale, we are about 70 trillion in debt, if we include future debts such as Social Security and Medicare (http://www.truthin2008.org/"http://www.truthin2008.org/). On the individual level, "Credit card debt is the third largest source of household indebtedness, averaging $15,587 per indebted household as of June 2012" (http://www.nerdwallet.com/blog/credit-card-data/average-credit-card-debt-household/). While some people believe debt increases productivity, I think we should be attacking the statistics above head on.

People often get upset when taxes are raised, yet will gladly pay a 3% tax to use their credit cards. Of course credit card companies are smart so they charge businesses and people think they are not being charged if they pay off their credit cards on time. Even worse, people don't pay their credit cards off each month which leads to 10%-25% in additional fees.

A quick side note. There are arguments that businesses should have debt because they leverage money and increase investor returns. I absolutely believe in the power of leveraging money, but that is another blog posting.

Create an Emergency Fund
Everyone should have 3 to 6 months of living expenses saved up for emergencies. I have heard it quoted that for every $10,000 in your annual salary, it may take a month to find that pay in a job, if you were to lose your job. That is, to find a 100K job, if that is your salary, it might take 10 months to find that job. In addition to losing your job, you may have to replace your car or take care of another emergency.

If you do not have an emergency fund and have credit card debt, I would advocate eliminating your credit card debt and building an emergency fund at the same time. An emergency fund can be placed in a checking, savings, money market account or certificate of deposit. This purpose of this fund is not to make money, but be liquid, meaning that you have access to the fund within a week's time frame.

Playing the Money Game
Once you have followed the above rules, you will be able to start playing the money game. You will become a lender and not a borrower. That's right, I said you be the bank. Rather than give the money to the bank, find out where the bank is investing the money you are giving it. I think that its very sad that we have become a society where we go to the bank to get loans, rather than visiting that rich uncle. What has happened to the strength of an individual's word? Why not register a promissary note which is based on a mere handshake?

Besides, the emergency fund and the 529 plans for college savings accounts, you should have a couple more buckets used to build your financial house. Diversification is an important word. For those who had all of their savings in mutual funds or stocks in their 401(k) plans in 2008, they may have had 50% of their estate taken out. On the other hand, suppose you had something like a 50% real estate, 25% stocks and 25% bonds. Now, imagine you lost 50% in stocks. This means you really only lost 12.5% of your estate.

Any well built financial house will include a diversified portfolio along with tax considerations. It will also include considerations on liquidity (like short or long term).

More importantly, realize that "No one will protect your money better than yourself." If your financial planner is not teaching you about money, they are not doing their job. A good financial planner will give you information and then let you make decisions about your money. They will not give you a single option and tell you that its the perfect plan, because no one can predict the future. Rather than pass the buck to your finanical planner, learn enough to be able to ask the right questions.

Most people who lost money in real estate, lost because they didn't know how to evaluate home prices or do other number crunching. This is true because over the past ten years while many were losing, those who knew were still making money. It is shocking to me that right after the sub prime mortgage crisis, people are still putting 3-5% down on homes and taking out a 30 year loan.

Most people who took a huge hit in stocks, also lost because they didn't know what they were investing in or how their investment worked. With the advancement of the internet, people can now invest in any publically traded company with the click of a button. They do not look at the investment, they just tell themselves, "Well, Apple is a great company with a great product." So, if someone told me that, I might respond, "If you had 1 trillion dollars, does that mean you would be willing to purchase Apple with that 1 trillion dollars?" It is shocking to me that right after the stock market crashes of 2001 and 2008 people continue handing their money off to someone who is making money whether they gain or lose money.

Whether in real estate or in the stock market, based on many people I have interviewed, I have found a huge difference between people who know how to have their money make money and people who don't. Those who do, often live by this phrase, "If the numbers work, I will do the deal. If they don't, I won't."

Support My Mission

1. You can support my mission by visiting http://www.izuservices.com and donating. A dollar lets me know you support my mission or like my posts. Thank you for those who have already donated.

2. Donate to SAGE via http://sagescholars.berkeley.edu/. The UC Berkeley SAGE (Student Achievement Guided by Experience) is a self-funded experiential leadership program that provides education, professional development, mentoring and internships to UC Berkeley students who come from poverty and low income backgrounds. I serve on the Leadership Council for SAGE and want to help raise money for their cause.

3. Call toll-free (877) 855-8111 or log on to www.PrimericaSecure.com to save yourself some money on either your home or auto insurance policies. Be sure to use my last name (IZU) and solution number (2MTFT). PrimericaSecure automatically compares rates from multiple companies such as Progressive, Travelers, Safeco, Hallmark, etc.